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Why Jawar Mohammed's Leadership is worse than Lencho Leta's in the saga of Oromo Politics:

Just like a traffic-jam on a highway, there is a Jawar-jam in Oromo Politics today. Let's break it down to its core lesson.

Jawar S. Mohammed is a learned caliber, a dynamic activist, a charismatic leader; as well as a sharp & incisive political analyst. However, Jawar's politics was never original.

Jawar's Politics: Recycled Lencho Leta's "Democratization of Ethiopia"

JM was a young face who recycled, rebranded and presented the old liberal Oromo politics of democratizing Empire Ethiopia as an effective solution to the Oromo struggle for freedom.
This old school of thought was championed by Lencho Leta within the OLF. Jawar only window dressed this old construct with his catchy phrase: "I am Oromo First." Merely a young face that presented Lencho's political vision better than Lencho himself to the public; or prehaps more appropriately, Jawar was a figure who presented Lencho's political construct at the right time to bring it to fruition and run with it.

♢ JM shared another trait with Lencho. Lencho, as a leader of the OLF, agreed to ALL the demands of EPLF & TPLF [helping them write the charter and constitution of Ethiopia in 1991, disarming the OLF Army,etc]hoping they would honor their promise to hold democratic elections.

That election never happened, as the OLF and Lencho himself, [swiftly like Haacaluu's Assassination that was used as pretext;] were given 48hrs by TPLF's Meles, who by sheer force and blatant betrayal, kicked him and his organization out of the country.

♢ Likewise, until he was arrested on bogus murder charge by Abiy and his regime, Jawar was singing the tune of "please, give us National Elections" in the general chorus of "Ethiopia can democratize itself" of which he was a lead singer. So did Lencho in the early 90s.

Lencho and the OLF were forced out of Ethiopian politics by getting kicked out of the country. Jawar is forced out of Ethiopian politics by getting seduced and trapped back into the country.

Shared weakness:
✦ Both knew the latent capacity of Ethiopia's tyrannical system that can neutralize and eliminate them.
✦ Both knew these latent dangers early enough before they became reality.
✦ Both hoped/miscalculated that the Ethiopian regime will hold elections to democratize the country because the "government" would fear the "will of the people."
✦ Both squandered their political capital in the house of cards they gambled to build with the former "allies" that turned to their predators later.
✦ Hence, both were political and strategic idiots that never grasped the most critical element of any true political change.

Both failed to realize transformative change in a political relationship never occurs between disproportionately unequal parties:
✦ They both never realized the most critical element of any true political change, which is that true bargaining only takes place between equals. If one side is bankrupted & turned weak; the strong party DICTATES the terms, which is usually, ultimately, the elimination of the rival by all means.
✦They unwittingly became party to weakening their own political camp and failed to deliver for the strong popular support they garnered.

JM's flaw was evidently worse than LL:
JM never learned even from the worst mistake of LL. That makes him even weaker politically than LL. A place holder. Never an original; and at best, a repeat of failed past experiment. Ultimately, an underachiever; who squandered the greatest asset noone has mustered before: Overwhelming popular support and winning media and public platform that mobilized millions.

It is to be noted that when Abiy rose to power and opened the Ethiopian system to lure and trap him, JM declared that his plan was to continue media work, political analysis and consultancy to the reform. He went home, saw an opportunity to climb the political ladder into official power, and jumped in. Obviously too early. There are sharks in the cesspool. An alt

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By: via Qerro Media Service - QMS